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ICT

'In the year 2525...'
E-commerce, information and society

The Response of The Library Association to 'Smoke on the Water'

http://www.foresight.gov.uk/

The Library Association represents a significant human component of the underlying structure of e-commerce.

E-commerce is critical to the competitiveness of the United Kingdom economy, and to its continuing leadership in innovation; it is also critical to the widest and most equitable participation in society. It will require an actual leap in the acquisition of information literacy across the entire population, if it is to be delivered in the time-scales indicated in 'Smoke...'

People need access to stores of skill in information seeking and information handling, they need safe and trusted places to explore the full range of services available to them, and the contextual information which will add new value to both commercial and political transactions. Those stores of skill are professional librarians and information scientists, those places are the libraries and information centres throughout the public, education, voluntary and private sectors in the United Kingdom. This is not just about e-commerce, this is about e-government.

Let's be clear about what e-commerce means: commerce is generally regarded as the activities surrounding the sale and purchase of goods, but it also denotes social relations. E-commerce has already led to a de facto combining of those definitions into a more flexible definition of any transaction between parties, and the services and systems which support those transactions. But e-commerce is not synonymous with e-retailing and e-business.

E-retailing, e-shopping is happening. I buy stuff on the Internet all the time - and the UK is losing out because I'm buying from American companies who have already invested in European warehousing so I don't have to bear the tax and import charges. More people like me have learned to assess the risks of e-shopping and found out how easy it is. The following is taken from the NOP Research Group web site: '3.3 million adults in Britain have bought something over the Internet in the last four weeks, according to an NOP survey published today.

The Internet User Profile Survey found that a quarter of those who had used the Internet in the last four weeks had shopped online, with the total number of online shoppers having more than doubled since this time last year. Half (51%) of those who had shopped online had bought something from a website they had bought from before.

Over nine out of ten online shoppers (94%) say that they intend to shop online in the future, a claim reinforced by the fact that the overall level of dissatisfaction with the experience of online shopping to date is only 3%. 75% of online shoppers expect to be spending more money on online shopping by the summer of 2001.

Against the background of the continuing debate on the security of financial transactions over the Internet, the survey found near-universal use of plastic as the online shopper's method of payment, with 90% having given their credit or debit card details online.

Richard Somerville, Internet research director at NOP said: "In four weeks, Britain's 3.3 million online shoppers shopped via the Internet 10.11 million times and made 18.2 million purchases. They are generally very satisfied with the whole experience of online shopping and the average online shopper's expectation is that they will be spending more than twice as much online by this time next year."

NOP screened a nationally representative sample of 25,000 British adults, aged 15+, and conducted 1603 follow-up telephone interviews with Web users between 1 June - 8 July 2000.'1

E-business maps isomorphically to all the functions of society. The confident society is achieved and sustained in large part by the active consumer actively engaging in an energetic economy. The active consumer is also an active citizen and the relationship between these facets of the individual's participation in society presents opportunities to make democracy more immediate, but it also comes with significant dangers. The dangers are polarised: deriving either from excessive controls and monitoring of communication and transactions - both commercial and political, or from a progressive over-articulation of e-commerce systems which will leave them fragmented and difficult to navigate: placing the burden of management on the individual.

E-commerce is as complex as the traditional functions from which it will evolve. So the trick is to keep the discussion on e-commerce grounded in the here and now, without losing the ability to anticipate the enormous societal shifts it will entail. There are general strands which affect every scale of involvement in e-commerce: intellectual property rights, (IPR), data protection (DP): issues of ownership and identity. E-commerce is highly scaled: from the most trivial impulse purchase to payments of utility bills by e-cash, through on-line registration of companies, web-based SME purchasing consortia, to the establishment of virtual corporate 'nations' with quasi-political powers. We might look at three simple characterisations of e-commerce scale.

The individual has two needs which are not new but are now more emphatic; they may even be thought of as 'new rights': a secure identity and the best achievable access to information. They are, of course, intertwined. The citizen's commercial and political identity will be hard to keep separate: access to technology and the means of identifying and acquiring the information needed for wise participation in society happen in the same conduit as the assessment of products for purchase. There may be a temptation to create new classes of intermediaries to teach, assist and mentor the 'information citizen'. Those intermediaries already exist, in schools, post offices, and several other official agencies - as well chemists and corner shops - but the most rapidly modernising information intermediaries work in libraries.

The small organisation has traditional strengths, typically in customer relationships, which translate well into e-commerce values; as the Gartner Group says in 'Hot Web-Based Customer Service Technologies': "Customers are loyal to sites that provide product breadth, information, ease of use and good navigational capabilities. Sites that cannot provide a full suite of e-service components due to technical or resource limitations must focus on baseline functionality and best practices"2 - a web site with a few good pictures of the product and a telephone number can be the right small business strategy right now. But this will change, and it is already an issue for organisations whose purpose is not sales and profit, but not-for-profit services to defined communities - like patient support groups. Their traditional strengths have focussed on networking, expertise and lobbying: as such their e-commerce strategies will need to feature high levels of interaction, and this has a technology and bandwidth overhead which needs to be managed.

In the Association's response to 'Our Competitive Future: Building the Knowledge Driven Economy' we proposed that 'information professional 'commandos' should be made available to SMEs to advise on the best use of all freely available business information resources and how external information can be combined with their own internal resources to gain competitive advantage.'3 We believe that, combined with initiatives like the Small Business Service, new intermediary roles for information professionals can help to turn increasing amounts of undifferentiated information into exploitable resource.

The large organisation does not know what to do. The impact of size and complexity at this scale make it almost impossible to offer better than educated guesses about what sort of internal structures they should adopt, and how these will affect their business relationships. This is a time of experimentation. More experiments will secure benign but irrelevant changes than do actual damage. A few will be successful. However, they all require certain conditions in society which pertain regardless of whatever business architecture is implemented internally: a stable, free society, with steady economic growth, and informed consumers. Informed consumers are critical for a competitive e-commerce-based economy: but the behaviours and habits attached to becoming informed are still not embedded in people's day-to-day lives. Librarians are professionally and ethically committed to helping their users become their own 'information professionals'.

Corporate organisations are just coming to terms with the need for an overall 'information architecture' to provide connectivity and efficiency across their workforces, moreover, extranets are already providing continuous communication along the supply chain; a carefully designed information architecture is a pre-requisite for managing a successful e-commerce strategy; ironically, many corporates already have trained information architects in their corporate library.

Understanding the nature of information, and how to exploit it is an e-commerce issue at every level: in the knowledge economy, e-commerce is the key to transforming business processes. We cannot over-stress the importance of the information profession in giving structured and speedy access to knowledge. We are very happy to continue working with the DTI in this area.

Mark Field Professional Adviser, Workplace Libraries and Information Services

mark.field@la-hq.org.uk

Appendix A: The Library Association

The Library Association is the professional body for library and information personnel. It has 26,000 members working in all sectors of the economy. Under the terms of our Royal Charter, awarded in 1898, The Library Association has, amongst other duties, responsibilities to:

  • Promote and encourage the maintenance of adequate and appropriate provision of library and information services of various kinds throughout the UK
  • Promote the better management of library and information services
  • Promote the knowledge, skills, position and qualifications of librarians and information personnel
  • Maintain a register of Chartered members, qualified to practise as professional librarians and information personnel
  • Represent and act as the professional body for persons working in or interested in library and information services

It achieves the above by awarding professional qualifications, promoting continuing professional development, supporting a network of geographical branches and subject specialist groups, and advocating the cause of libraries and librarians to government and other bodies.

Appendix B: 'In the year 2525' - Some thoughts on scenarios

ARTIST: Zager and Evans
TITLE: In the Year 2525

Lyrics

Perhaps the folk-pop lament 'In the year 2525' wasn't a great song but it was an unusual chart entry in 1970. Some of its dire predictions seem scary even now, but they are mostly wrong, in the wrong order, or show concern for things which no longer worry us. Scenarios are a useful tool for planning but they are not innately predictive. They can be used to present complex ideas in an easily-grasped vignette, but they are more useful as a means of eliciting attitudes and ideas from groups - by getting them to create their own scenarios.

Appendix C: References

[note: some of these are news-type URLs, as such they will persist for no more than two weeks from the date of this document].

1 url: http://www.NOP.co.uk/survey/internet/internet_item20.htm

2 url: http://gartner5.gartnerweb.com/public/static/hotc/00092286.html

3 url: http://www.la-hq.org.uk/directory/prof_issues/ocf.html